Partner risk indices

Country Risk Index

54.8

Political Risk Index

54.3

Short-Term Economic Risk Index

42.7

Long-Term Economic Risk Index

45.5

Operational Risk Index

66

Source: Partner Research Partner, as of 8 Nov 2026. 0-100, higher means higher risk.

Key indicators

Market overview

• Guinea is in West Africa and is classified by the World Bank as Lower middle income. (World Bank)
• Population: 15.1 million (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• GDP: US$42.3bn in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)

Economic conditions

• Real GDP growth: 6.9% in 2025 (estimate); the IMF projects 7.2% for 2026. (IMF WEO)
• Average consumer price inflation: 3.1% in 2025 (estimate); projected 6.3% for 2026. (IMF WEO)
• General government gross debt: 36.3% of GDP in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)
• Current account balance: -14.7% of GDP in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)
• Government net lending/borrowing: -6.4% of GDP in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)
• Official exchange rate averaged 9,565.08 local currency units per US dollar in 2020, against 9,011.13 in 2018: 6.1% more units per dollar (the currency weakened against the dollar). (World Bank WDI)

Key risks

• Partner risk indices (0-100, higher = higher risk), as of 8 Nov 2026: Country Risk Index 54.8 (rank 18 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Political Risk Index 54.3 (rank 36 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Short-Term Economic Risk Index 42.7 (rank 2 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Long-Term Economic Risk Index 45.5 (rank 5 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Operational Risk Index 66 (rank 29 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk). (Partner Research Partner)
• Highest-scoring Partner risk component: labour market risk (69.7, operational). (Partner Research Partner)
• World Bank governance scores (2025, 0-100, higher is better): control of corruption 27; government effectiveness 34; political stability and absence of violence 53; rule of law 39; regulatory quality 39. (World Bank WGI)
• External debt stocks: 24.1% of GNI (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Unemployment (modelled ILO estimate): 5.2% of labour force (2025). (World Bank WDI)

Investment considerations

• Foreign direct investment, net inflows: 27.4% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Domestic credit to the private sector: 10.6% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Bank lending interest rate: 12.9% (2001). (World Bank WDI)
• Trade (exports plus imports): 103.7% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• The Meridian holds 206 published records tagged to Guinea. (The Meridian)

Sector snapshot

• Energy and power: access to electricity 53.8% of population (2024); renewable share of final energy consumption 66.6% (2022). (World Bank WDI)
• Mining and minerals: mineral rents 0% of GDP (2021); ores and metals exports 25.8% of merchandise exports (2016). (World Bank WDI)
• Financial services: foreign direct investment, net inflows 27.4% of GDP (2025); bank lending interest rate 12.9% (2001). (World Bank WDI)
• Technology, media and telecoms: internet users 33.3% of population (2024); mobile subscriptions 97.9 per 100 people (2023). (World Bank WDI)
• Agriculture: agriculture, forestry and fishing, value added 31.3% of GDP (2025); employment in agriculture 47.4% of employment (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Manufacturing and industry: manufacturing, value added 12.7% of GDP (2022); industry (including construction), value added 25.4% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Infrastructure and real estate: urban population 38.5% of population (2025); access to electricity 53.8% of population (2024). (World Bank WDI)

Recent developments

• Guinea hosts mining summit for investment , economic diversification (sierraleonetimes.com, 12 Nov 2026) (GDELT)
• After losing $30 million Malibu mansion in corruption case , Equatorial Guinea vice - president former property sells for $93 . 5 million (moneycontrol.com, 12 Nov 2026) (GDELT)
• Papua New Guinea decision to close Taipei Economic Office appreciated : Chinese FM spokesperson (en.people.cn, 10 Nov 2026) (GDELT)

Data limitations and sources

• Older data, shown with its period and not described as current: Official exchange rate (period average) (Latest published value is for 2020); Bank lending interest rate (Latest published value is for 2001); Mobile subscriptions (Latest published value is for 2023); Fixed broadband subscriptions (Latest published value is for 2022); Renewable share of final energy consumption (Latest published value is for 2022); Oil rents (Latest published value is for 2021); Fuel exports (Latest published value is for 2016); Mineral rents (Latest published value is for 2021); and 2 more.
• IMF figures for the most recent year are IMF estimates and later years are projections. World Bank series typically lag by one to two years. Headlines come from automated news monitoring and are not verified by The Meridian.
• Sources last checked 15 Nov 2026.

Meridian transactions

• Mediterrania Capital Partners completes investment in Atlantic Group’s AFG Assurances
• Mediterrania Capital Partners invests in AFG Assurances’ operations in Francophone Africa
• Proparco invests EUR 5 million in SOGUIPAL’s operations in Guinea
• Glencore – Nimba Mining Company bauxite offtake and pre-financing agreement
• ECOWAS Bank for Investment and Development (EBID) invests USD 25 million in Topaz Multi-Industries SA
• Shelter Afrique Development Bank launches XOF60bn sustainable bond on the WAEMU regional market

Meridian articles

• Guinea’s Nimba Mining Company signs bauxite marketing deal with Glencore backed by more than US$300m prefinancing
• Guinea’s Kalia iron ore permit listed as withdrawn by order as the 7.2bn-tonne deposit stays undeveloped