Partner risk indices

Country Risk Index

48.5

Political Risk Index

44.8

Short-Term Economic Risk Index

56.3

Long-Term Economic Risk Index

45

Operational Risk Index

50.2

Source: Partner Research Partner, as of 8 Nov 2026. 0-100, higher means higher risk.

Key indicators

Market overview

• Egypt is in North Africa and is classified by the World Bank as Lower middle income. (World Bank)
• Population: 118.4 million (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• GDP: US$364.6bn in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)

Economic conditions

• Real GDP growth: 4.4% in 2025 (estimate); the IMF projects 5.1% for 2026. (IMF WEO)
• Average consumer price inflation: 20.4% in 2025 (estimate); projected 13.3% for 2026. (IMF WEO)
• General government gross debt: 86.8% of GDP in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)
• Current account balance: -4.2% of GDP in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)
• Government net lending/borrowing: -6.6% of GDP in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)
• Official exchange rate averaged 49.23 local currency units per US dollar in 2025, against 30.63 in 2023: 60.7% more units per dollar (the currency weakened against the dollar). (World Bank WDI)

Key risks

• Partner risk indices (0-100, higher = higher risk), as of 8 Nov 2026: Country Risk Index 48.5 (rank 6 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Political Risk Index 44.8 (rank 10 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Short-Term Economic Risk Index 56.3 (rank 31 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Long-Term Economic Risk Index 45 (rank 2 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Operational Risk Index 50.2 (rank 6 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk). (Partner Research Partner)
• Highest-scoring Partner risk component: labour market risk (61, operational). (Partner Research Partner)
• World Bank governance scores (2025, 0-100, higher is better): control of corruption 34; government effectiveness 5; political stability and absence of violence 5; rule of law 47; regulatory quality 48. (World Bank WGI)
• External debt stocks: 47% of GNI (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Unemployment (modelled ILO estimate): 6.8% of labour force (2025). (World Bank WDI)

Investment considerations

• Foreign direct investment, net inflows: 4.2% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Domestic credit to the private sector: 25.8% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Bank lending interest rate: 24.3% (2024). (World Bank WDI)
• Trade (exports plus imports): 51.3% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• The Meridian holds 1,299 published records tagged to Egypt. (The Meridian)

Sector snapshot

• Energy and power: access to electricity 100% of population (2024); renewable share of final energy consumption 6.1% (2021). (World Bank WDI)
• Mining and minerals: mineral rents 0% of GDP (2021); ores and metals exports 5% of merchandise exports (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Financial services: foreign direct investment, net inflows 4.2% of GDP (2025); bank lending interest rate 24.3% (2024). (World Bank WDI)
• Technology, media and telecoms: internet users 74.6% of population (2024); mobile subscriptions 97.1 per 100 people (2024). (World Bank WDI)
• Agriculture: agriculture, forestry and fishing, value added 16.6% of GDP (2025); employment in agriculture 17.5% of employment (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Manufacturing and industry: manufacturing, value added 14.5% of GDP (2025); industry (including construction), value added 32.1% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Infrastructure and real estate: urban population 42.9% of population (2025); access to electricity 100% of population (2024). (World Bank WDI)

Data limitations and sources

• Older data, shown with its period and not described as current: Renewable share of final energy consumption (Latest published value is for 2021); Oil rents (Latest published value is for 2021); Mineral rents (Latest published value is for 2021).
• IMF figures for the most recent year are IMF estimates and later years are projections. World Bank series typically lag by one to two years. Headlines come from automated news monitoring and are not verified by The Meridian.
• Sources last checked 15 Nov 2026.

Meridian transactions

• 4DX Ventures, British International Investment (BII) and partners invest USD 6 million in Enza
• enza raises US$6m Seed+ round led by 4DX Ventures and BII
• Banque du Caire lists on the EGX after c. US$658m IPO, Egypt’s largest in a decade
• European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) and partners invest USD 63 million in the Dandara Solar Power project in Egypt
• The European Investment Bank (EIB) invests USD 90 million in the Dandara Solar PV and battery energy storage project in Egypt
• Cross Tower, Casablanca Finance City (real estate development)

Meridian articles

• Courts, not registries, are setting Africa’s IP agenda: Meridian IP Intelligence, October 2026
• The Meridian Watchlist: the October dates that will move Africa’s deal record
• MNT-Halan sets out a 20% EGX float, with Gibson Dunn, Matouk Bassiouny and White & Case on the deal
• Egypt’s privatisation pipeline is a two-year legal mandate queue, and it is already staffed
• Data centres are becoming Africa’s fastest-emerging M&A vertical, and the legal work is different