Partner risk indices

Country Risk Index

56.4

Political Risk Index

49.9

Short-Term Economic Risk Index

50.8

Long-Term Economic Risk Index

56.3

Operational Risk Index

65.7

Source: Partner Research Partner, as of 8 Nov 2026. 0-100, higher means higher risk.

Key indicators

Market overview

• Djibouti is in East Africa and is classified by the World Bank as Lower middle income. (World Bank)
• Population: 1.2 million (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• GDP: US$4.5bn in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)

Economic conditions

• Real GDP growth: 4.9% in 2025 (estimate); the IMF projects 5.6% for 2026. (IMF WEO)
• Average consumer price inflation: -0.3% in 2025 (estimate); projected 2.3% for 2026. (IMF WEO)
• General government gross debt: 31.3% of GDP in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)
• Current account balance: 14.5% of GDP in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)
• Government net lending/borrowing: -1.4% of GDP in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)
• Official exchange rate averaged 177.72 local currency units per US dollar in 2025, against 177.72 in 2023: 0% more units per dollar (the currency weakened against the dollar). (World Bank WDI)

Key risks

• Partner risk indices (0-100, higher = higher risk), as of 8 Nov 2026: Country Risk Index 56.4 (rank 22 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Political Risk Index 49.9 (rank 20 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Short-Term Economic Risk Index 50.8 (rank 13 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Long-Term Economic Risk Index 56.3 (rank 24 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Operational Risk Index 65.7 (rank 28 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk). (Partner Research Partner)
• Highest-scoring Partner risk component: crime and security risk (70, operational). (Partner Research Partner)
• World Bank governance scores (2025, 0-100, higher is better): control of corruption 29; government effectiveness 42; political stability and absence of violence 57; rule of law 42; regulatory quality 4. (World Bank WGI)
• External debt stocks: 79.3% of GNI (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Unemployment (modelled ILO estimate): 26% of labour force (2025). (World Bank WDI)

Investment considerations

• Foreign direct investment, net inflows: 3.2% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Domestic credit to the private sector: 25.2% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Trade (exports plus imports): 206.3% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• The Meridian holds 47 published records tagged to Djibouti. (The Meridian)

Sector snapshot

• Energy and power: access to electricity 69.2% of population (2024); renewable share of final energy consumption 26.9% (2022). (World Bank WDI)
• Mining and minerals: mineral rents 0% of GDP (2021); ores and metals exports 0.5% of merchandise exports (2023). (World Bank WDI)
• Financial services: foreign direct investment, net inflows 3.2% of GDP (2025); domestic credit to the private sector 25.2% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Technology, media and telecoms: internet users 65.3% of population (2024); mobile subscriptions 48.5 per 100 people (2023). (World Bank WDI)
• Agriculture: agriculture, forestry and fishing, value added 2.3% of GDP (2025); employment in agriculture 1.2% of employment (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Manufacturing and industry: manufacturing, value added 5.3% of GDP (2024); industry (including construction), value added 16.6% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Infrastructure and real estate: urban population 73% of population (2025); access to electricity 69.2% of population (2024). (World Bank WDI)

Data limitations and sources

• Older data, shown with its period and not described as current: Mobile subscriptions (Latest published value is for 2023); Fixed broadband subscriptions (Latest published value is for 2023); Renewable share of final energy consumption (Latest published value is for 2022); Oil rents (Latest published value is for 2021); Fuel exports (Latest published value is for 2023); Mineral rents (Latest published value is for 2021); Ores and metals exports (Latest published value is for 2023).
• IMF figures for the most recent year are IMF estimates and later years are projections. World Bank series typically lag by one to two years. Headlines come from automated news monitoring and are not verified by The Meridian.
• Sources last checked 15 Nov 2026.

Meridian transactions

• Africa Finance Corporation US$2bn syndicated term loan (26 lenders): Nigerian counsel to the lenders
• African Development Bank invests USD 10 million in Exim Bank Tanzania Limited
• Barclays, Commerzbank, First Abu Dhabi Bank, FirstRand and partners invest USD 2 billion in Africa Finance Corporation
• Islamic Development Bank, and the Islamic Solidarity Fund for Development, through the Tadamon Accelerator for Food Security, Provided Grant Funding to Tadjourah Women’s Association’s Operations in Djibouti for USD 10k
• Islamic Development Bank, and the Islamic Solidarity Fund for Development, through the Tadamon Accelerator for Food Security, Provided Grant Funding to ASSOCIATION QOUSBA MAXEXOU’s Operations in Djibouti for USD 10k
• Islamic Development Bank, and the Islamic Solidarity Fund for Development, through the Tadamon Accelerator for Food Security, Provided Grant Funding to Greenlife Agribusiness Limited’s Operations in Somalia for USD 10k