Partner risk indices

Country Risk Index

52.7

Political Risk Index

41.6

Short-Term Economic Risk Index

61.5

Long-Term Economic Risk Index

61.1

Operational Risk Index

55.3

Source: Partner Research Partner, as of 8 Nov 2026. 0-100, higher means higher risk.

Key indicators

Market overview

• Tunisia is in North Africa and is classified by the World Bank as Lower middle income. (World Bank)
• Population: 12.3 million (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• GDP: US$57.3bn in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)

Economic conditions

• Real GDP growth: 2.7% in 2025 (estimate); the IMF projects 2.4% for 2026. (IMF WEO)
• Average consumer price inflation: 5.3% in 2025 (estimate); projected 5.5% for 2026. (IMF WEO)
• General government gross debt: 81.7% of GDP in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)
• Current account balance: -3.3% of GDP in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)
• Government net lending/borrowing: -5.3% of GDP in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)
• Official exchange rate averaged 3 local currency units per US dollar in 2025, against 3.11 in 2023: 3.5% more units per dollar fewer (the currency strengthened against the dollar). (World Bank WDI)

Key risks

• Partner risk indices (0-100, higher = higher risk), as of 8 Nov 2026: Country Risk Index 52.7 (rank 14 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Political Risk Index 41.6 (rank 4 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Short-Term Economic Risk Index 61.5 (rank 42 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Long-Term Economic Risk Index 61.1 (rank 43 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Operational Risk Index 55.3 (rank 12 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk). (Partner Research Partner)
• Highest-scoring Partner risk component: labour market risk (60.3, operational). (Partner Research Partner)
• World Bank governance scores (2025, 0-100, higher is better): control of corruption 44; government effectiveness 47; political stability and absence of violence 53; rule of law 52; regulatory quality 46. (World Bank WGI)
• External debt stocks: 74% of GNI (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Unemployment (modelled ILO estimate): 15.1% of labour force (2025). (World Bank WDI)

Investment considerations

• Foreign direct investment, net inflows: 2% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Domestic credit to the private sector: 57.7% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Trade (exports plus imports): 101.4% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• The Meridian holds 275 published records tagged to Tunisia. (The Meridian)

Sector snapshot

• Energy and power: access to electricity 100% of population (2024); renewable share of final energy consumption 11.6% (2021). (World Bank WDI)
• Mining and minerals: mineral rents 0% of GDP (2021); ores and metals exports 1.5% of merchandise exports (2024). (World Bank WDI)
• Financial services: foreign direct investment, net inflows 2% of GDP (2025); domestic credit to the private sector 57.7% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Technology, media and telecoms: internet users 76.5% of population (2024); mobile subscriptions 117.6 per 100 people (2024). (World Bank WDI)
• Agriculture: agriculture, forestry and fishing, value added 10.3% of GDP (2025); employment in agriculture 12.5% of employment (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Manufacturing and industry: manufacturing, value added 14.8% of GDP (2024); industry (including construction), value added 22% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Infrastructure and real estate: urban population 70.7% of population (2025); access to electricity 100% of population (2024). (World Bank WDI)

Data limitations and sources

• Older data, shown with its period and not described as current: Renewable share of final energy consumption (Latest published value is for 2021); Oil rents (Latest published value is for 2021); Mineral rents (Latest published value is for 2021).
• IMF figures for the most recent year are IMF estimates and later years are projections. World Bank series typically lag by one to two years. Headlines come from automated news monitoring and are not verified by The Meridian.
• Sources last checked 15 Nov 2026.

Meridian transactions

• International Finance Corporation (IFC) invests EUR 52 million in Marquardt’s operations in Tunisia
• IsDB approves EUR 335 million for Tunisian road corridors
• Africa Finance Corporation US$2bn syndicated term loan (26 lenders): Nigerian counsel to the lenders
• EBID invests USD 50 million in WAICA Reinsurance Corporation Plc’s operations in Sierra Leone
• UBCI and EBRD invest EURO 3.8 million in Agua Services d’Assainissement’s operations in Tunisia
• BIAT and partners invest TND 90 million in Advans Tunisie