Partner risk indices

Country Risk Index

59.7

Political Risk Index

56.1

Short-Term Economic Risk Index

55.4

Long-Term Economic Risk Index

48.5

Operational Risk Index

71.1

Source: Partner Research Partner, as of 8 Nov 2026. 0-100, higher means higher risk.

Key indicators

Market overview

• Equatorial Guinea is in Central Africa and is classified by the World Bank as Upper middle income. (World Bank)
• Population: 1.9 million (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• GDP: US$12.8bn in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)

Economic conditions

• Real GDP growth: -5.8% in 2025 (estimate); the IMF projects -1.7% for 2026. (IMF WEO)
• Average consumer price inflation: 2.3% in 2025 (estimate); projected 3.3% for 2026. (IMF WEO)
• General government gross debt: 35.4% of GDP in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)
• Current account balance: -2.4% of GDP in 2025 (estimate). (IMF WEO)
• Official exchange rate averaged 581.93 local currency units per US dollar in 2025, against 606.57 in 2023: 4.1% more units per dollar fewer (the currency strengthened against the dollar). (World Bank WDI)

Key risks

• Partner risk indices (0-100, higher = higher risk), as of 8 Nov 2026: Country Risk Index 59.7 (rank 38 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Political Risk Index 56.1 (rank 40 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Short-Term Economic Risk Index 55.4 (rank 26 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Long-Term Economic Risk Index 48.5 (rank 9 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk); Operational Risk Index 71.1 (rank 44 of 53 in Africa, 1 = lowest risk). (Partner Research Partner)
• Highest-scoring Partner risk component: crime and security risk (77.6, operational). (Partner Research Partner)
• World Bank governance scores (2025, 0-100, higher is better): control of corruption 18; government effectiveness 27; political stability and absence of violence 63; rule of law 33; regulatory quality 31. (World Bank WGI)
• External debt stocks: 9.5% of GNI (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Unemployment (modelled ILO estimate): 8.3% of labour force (2025). (World Bank WDI)

Investment considerations

• Foreign direct investment, net inflows: 2.3% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Domestic credit to the private sector: 5.8% of GDP (2023). (World Bank WDI)
• Trade (exports plus imports): 74.9% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• The Meridian holds 35 published records tagged to Equatorial Guinea. (The Meridian)

Sector snapshot

• Energy and power: access to electricity 65.1% of population (2024); renewable share of final energy consumption 4.2% (2022). (World Bank WDI)
• Mining and minerals: mineral rents 0% of GDP (2021). (World Bank WDI)
• Financial services: foreign direct investment, net inflows 2.3% of GDP (2025); domestic credit to the private sector 5.8% of GDP (2023). (World Bank WDI)
• Technology, media and telecoms: internet users 63.3% of population (2024); mobile subscriptions 49.5 per 100 people (2022). (World Bank WDI)
• Agriculture: agriculture, forestry and fishing, value added 3.2% of GDP (2025); employment in agriculture 55.3% of employment (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Manufacturing and industry: manufacturing, value added 22.3% of GDP (2025); industry (including construction), value added 41.4% of GDP (2025). (World Bank WDI)
• Infrastructure and real estate: urban population 71.6% of population (2025); access to electricity 65.1% of population (2024). (World Bank WDI)

Recent developments

• After losing $30 million Malibu mansion in corruption case , Equatorial Guinea vice - president former property sells for $93 . 5 million (moneycontrol.com, 12 Nov 2026) (GDELT)
• HKUST President Prof . Nancy IP Receives UNESCO – Equatorial Guinea International Prize for Research in Life Sciences (thearabianpost.com, 7 Nov 2026) (GDELT)
• HKUST President Prof . Nancy IP Receives UNESCO – Equatorial Guinea International Prize for Research in Life Sciences (thearabianpost.com, 7 Nov 2026) (GDELT)

Data limitations and sources

• Older data, shown with its period and not described as current: Domestic credit to the private sector (Latest published value is for 2023); Mobile subscriptions (Latest published value is for 2022); Fixed broadband subscriptions (Latest published value is for 2022); Renewable share of final energy consumption (Latest published value is for 2022); Oil rents (Latest published value is for 2021); Mineral rents (Latest published value is for 2021).
• IMF figures for the most recent year are IMF estimates and later years are projections. World Bank series typically lag by one to two years. Headlines come from automated news monitoring and are not verified by The Meridian.
• Sources last checked 15 Nov 2026.

Meridian transactions

• Kosmos Energy disposal of its 40.375% non-operated interest in Block G (Ceiba field and Okume Complex) offshore Equatorial Guinea to Panoro Energy
• Panoro Energy’s Acquisition of 40.375% Stake in Ceiba Field and Okume Complex for USD 219.5 million
• Helios Investment Partners Exits Africa Oil’s Operations in Kenya, Ethiopia, and Somalia
• Apis Partners LLP & Vitruvian Partners Series D investment in Thunes operations in Africa for USD 150 million
• IFC’s Loan to Afriland First Bank Cameroon’s SME Operations in Cameroon for USD 60 million
• E3 Capital’s Series A investment into Insight Terra’s Operations in Africa for USD 5.7 million